What if everyone
understood the concepts of futuring? Can you imagine if everyone thought about
and understood the consequences of their actions before they acted? That one,
tiny piece of future thinking would probably have a sizeable impact on the
world, because people do a lot of dumb things simply because they have not
thought about the consequences.
Let’s take it another step. What if most people seriously thought
about their own futures, understood the potential, and acted to achieve the
future they wanted. That might change the world!
When I was a student in the Futures Studies graduate program
at the University of Houston Clear Lake, I spent a summer with a dozen other
students from all over the U.S and many parts of the world, learning about the
methods and tools of foresight and futures studies. I remember very clearly
that students would say, “Everyone should know this!” This happened when we
were studying Systems, Strategic Planning, Scenario development, Visioning and
other classes. “Everyone should know this!” It made a strong impression on me. But
everything about my studies at UHCL made an impression.
It was very clear to me that futures methods worked, and worked well. Certainly,
there was a lot of discussion and some dispute among authors and experts about strategic
planning (for example), but even they agreed that the methods worked when
executed correctly. Or maybe I should say that the methods worked well for
large organizations, because when I tried to apply all my newfound knowledge to
my own life, there were problems. The methods just didn’t fit… They were
developed by and for very large organizations, not for individuals.
After completing my studies at UHCL, I signed up to conduct
PhD. research under the direction of Graham May at Leeds Metropolitan University.
My research topic became Personal
Futures; Foresight and Futures Studies for Individuals (available as a free
PDF download at www.personalfutures.net).
The research was exciting for me, and I learned a great deal about applying
futures methods to individuals. The first was that biology is the primary
driving force in human lives. We all go through a series of stages in life, and
each stage represents substantial change, much of which can be anticipated.
I felt that the traditional life stages used by modern
psychologists and dating back to the ancient Greeks were valuable, but I also
found that in one respect they were outdated. In the classic stages, Old Age
started at about age 50 or 55. I don’t think any modern person at that age feels
they are old since we are living much longer, healthier lives. So I substituted
“Independent Elder” as the stage following Middle age, then added three
optional stages, all related more to declining health than biological change.
Next, I realized that we are all naturally multi-taskers.
From birth to death, in every corner of the world, there are six groups of forces
in our lives that we manage every day. I called the six groups “personal
domains” and they include: Activities, Financial, Health, Housing, Social, and
Transportation.
From there, my research was mostly a matter of scaling
existing futures methods down to fit individuals and organizing everything into
a practical, easy to use system. That effort resulted in a workbook and
personal futures workshops. The concepts and the workbook were given their
first international test at the World future Society Conference in Toronto in
2006. Participants representing many countries (Turkey, Mexico, UK, Canada and
the US that I remember) were enthusiastic with the all-day workshop, and many
are prominent futurists today.
That was the start. Since then thousands of copies of the Personal Futures Workbook have been
printed and downloaded (it’s a free PDF at www.personalfutures.net) all over the
world. My book, It’s YOUR Future…Make it
a Good One! has also gone around the world and has already been translated
into Turkish and Spanish with several other translations underway now. The book
was even awarded the Association of Professional Futurists 2012 “Most Important
Futures Work”.
So back to the original question, “What if EVERYONE was a
futurist?” I think it’s a worthy goal, and I believe that we have a good start
on the tools that can make that happen. Already, enough people are aware of
futuring to start making a difference in the way people think about the future
(there are more than two dozen universities worldwide offering masters degrees
in Foresight and Futures Studies). We are a long way from a tipping point, but
the progress is encouraging!
That’s a long way from “Everyone.” But it’s a start. Seven billion
to go!
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